Drought Situation & EW Phase Classification
Biophysical Indicators
The biophysical indicators show negative fluctuations within the expected seasonal ranges.
There was hardly any rainfall received within month of August.
The vegetation conditions are gradually reducing with the overall county VCI of 43.92 which is a great reduction in the vegetation biomass in comparison to the month of July, which had a VCI of 56.62. However the county VCI falls within the normal ranges of 35-50. Galole and Garsen recorded a VCI of 43.71 and 55.99 which is a greater reduction compared to last month. The situation is deteriorating in Bura (with a VCI of 29.7) which is below normal compared to last month.
SPI for May stood at 0.33.
Currently the state of water sources is at the range of 2-3 in the county.
This is the normal range during this season of the year and the situation is expected to deteriorate as the dry spell progresses.
Socio Economic Indicators (Impact Indicators)
There are no unusual livestock migration patterns noted in the county, however with the onset of the dry spell, migrations of livestock moving towards the marginal and mixed livelihood zones is expected.
Livestock body condition for cattle, goats and sheep is good within mixed livelihood zones but fair in both Pastoral and Marginal mixed. This is expected to worsen with the current dry spell.
Milk production has greatly reduced and below normal ranges.
Utilization indicators
The malnutrition status of children under the age of 5 years that are at risk increased to 10% up from 9% of the month of July. This is expected to worsen with the 0nset of the dry spell.