Drought Situation & EW Phase Classification
Drought Phase: EARLY ALERT
Biophysical Indicators
Biophysical indicators show no unusual fluctuations outside the expected seasonal range. o Good rainfall was received only in the last week of month – above normal range. The rest part of July was so dry o The vegetation condition index VCI-3month is above normal.
Socio Economic Indicators (Impact Indicators)
Production indicators:They were livestock migrations towards Mukutani volatile area in search of water and pasture especially from Orus area. Minimum security related /restricted animals movements were reported.
Livestock body condition slightly deteriorated and milk production remained unchanged, but it is expected to improve with the setting in of rains experienced in the last week of July.
Access indicatorsTerms of trade are still within normal range and favourable to pastoral livelihoods.
Water in the pans is below normal (60%) and trekking distances is within normal range.
Utilization indicators:MUAC is at 15.1% this is slightly threshold point of 15%.
Occurrence of waterborne/water related diseases is above normal due to rampant usage of contaminated water.
Most drought indicators point towards early alert phase.
Generally, drought risks remained low with a worsening trend due to the failed rains in July. The security situation has really improved in most volatile areas due to peace caravan spearhead by National cohesion and reconciliation team. There were minimal livestock movements hence improving trade and food security.
Drought risks slightly deteriorated in the month due to effects of failed rains. Drought effects are expected to improve with JulyAugust rains being experienced late in the month hence the community resilience building is recommended through preparedness activities.