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Kenya: Tana River County Drought Early Warning Bulletin For May 2015

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Source: Government of Kenya
Country: Kenya

Drought Situation & EW Phase Classification

Biophysical Indicators

  • The biophysical indicators show positive fluctuations outside the expected seasonal ranges.

  • There were little rainfall received within the month of May but more received within early June.

  • The vegetation conditions are gradually improving with the overall county VCI of 49.65 falling within the normal ranges of 35-50. Galole and Garsen recorded a VCI of 60.49 and 44.96 which is a greater improvement compared to last month. The situation is normal in Bura (with a VCI of 47.20) sub-county indicating normal condition on an improving trend compared to last month.

  • SPI for May improved at 0.33. This was as a result of ongoing long rains.

  • Currently the state of water sources is at the range of ‘5’ in the county.
    This is normal range and the situation is expected to improve with the progressing long rains.

Socio Economic Indicators (Impact Indicators)

  • There are no unusual livestock migration patterns noted in the county, however with the ongoing long rains, massive migrations of livestock moving towards the pastoral areas of Assa, Kone and Wayu that had received some rainfall.

  • Livestock body condition for cattle, goats and sheep is good within mixed livelihood zones but fair in both Pastoral and Marginal mixed. This is expected to improve with the ongoing rains.

Utilization indicators

The malnutrition status of children under the age of 5 years that are at risk remained Stable at 13% compared with the previous month of April which was 12.5%.
This is expected to improve following the recent coastal rains.


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